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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | kahe | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 67% (542–271, n=813) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.1M | -$333K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #539 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (39 of 99 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (16 of 21 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Esports −2 pts, n=324 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 67% of 1032 at avg 67¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 4% (won 21% of 39) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 14% (won 42% of 144) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 38% (won 62% of 389) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 45% (won 84% of 460) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | kahe | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $187K | — | Yes $1.2M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $265K | — | Yes $574K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $77K | — | No $693K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | — | No $395 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $30K | — | No $830 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $260 | — | No $7.0K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | — | Yes $2.9M | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $51K | — | Yes $250 | — |