← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 37% (274–463, n=737) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $142K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 75% (21 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 44% of 409 at avg 45¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 53% (won 2% of 216) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 50% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 42% (won 96% of 173) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | No $4.9K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | No $725 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $42K | No $13K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $607 | No $2.5K |