← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lava-lava | SineNooneEI | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 51% (210–202, n=412) | 88% (584–76, n=660) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $1.2M | $1.0M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #110 | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (36 of 44 open) | 63% (38 of 60 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (46 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 5% (won 83% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 36% (won 88% of 182) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 44% (won 93% of 224) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 16% (won 99% of 82) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | SineNooneEI | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31K | Yes $9.8K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — | — |