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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 40% (4837–7348, n=12185) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $62K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #413 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (60 of 113 open) | 77% (102 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −3 pts, n=970 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 42% of 4506 at avg 44¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 54% (won 1% of 2428) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 3% (won 41% of 116) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 56% of 202) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 39% (won 96% of 1760) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.