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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 39% (5040–7823, n=12863) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $69K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #378 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 87% (160 of 183 open) | 62% (175 of 281 open) | 66% (82 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | — | Yes $29K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 | — |
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $64 | No $26K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.5K | Under $753 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $721 |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $676 | No $2.9K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.2K | — | Yes $111 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $268 | Under $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.1K | Under $154 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $1.9K |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $535 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $742 | Yes $155 |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $509 | Under $76 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel | — | — | Toby Samuel $445 | Lukas Pokorny $4 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | — | — | Al Ahli Saudi Club $8 | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $240 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $148 | Under $98 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4 | Under $161 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $133 | No $20 |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $134 |
| Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $84 | Yes $40 |
| Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $76 | Under $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | — | No $6.5K | — |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.6K | No $310 |
| Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Sevilla FC | — | — | Sevilla FC $983 | Sevilla FC $3.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $841 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $26 | No $2.3K |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $101 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $931 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Under $296 |
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $498 | Under $1.3K |