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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4470–3348, n=7818) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 40% (4991–7640, n=12631) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $68K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #337 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 65% (20 of 31 open) | 78% (57 of 73 open) | 62% (24 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $195 | Yes $261K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | No $12K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9.2K | No $632 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $33K | — | — | Quentin Halys $40K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $300 | Yes $14K | — | — |