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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 83% (5378–1106, n=6484) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $47K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 77% (79 of 103 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $1.0M | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3 | No $1.1K |