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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 60% (37 of 62 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers same side · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $40K | — | 49ers $725 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | Falcons $10K | Falcons $5.1K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | Falcons $1.7K | Falcons $251 | — |