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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | quietparcel | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 50% (1075–1083, n=2158) | 44% (6174–7765, n=13939) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.5M | $37K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #230 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (29 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 84% (167 of 198 open) | 44% (14 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=594 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 94% of 50) | 60% (won 1% of 3032) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 41% (won 99% of 392) | 2% (won 35% of 106) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 49% (won 99% of 469) | 4% (won 60% of 183) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 5% (won 100% of 44) | 34% (won 96% of 1746) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.