← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2613–69, n=2682) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$132K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Esports ±0 pts, n=908 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2645 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 12% of 25) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 65% of 31) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2562) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BunCaCham | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $894 | — | — | Yes $83K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $885 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $17K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $553 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $273 | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11 | — | — | No $118K |