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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1509–443, n=1952) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $10.6M | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse $14K | — | — | Ignacio Buse $42K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $15K | — | — | Mary Stoiana $21K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Mariano Navone | Mariano Navone $367 | — | — | Mariano Navone $3 |