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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1509–443, n=1952) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $13.4M | $19.0M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $44K | Lorenzo Musetti $61K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $15K | Mary Stoiana $21K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Mariano Navone | Mariano Navone $367 | Mariano Navone $3 | — | — |