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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | surfandturf | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1510–446, n=1956) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | -$77K | $5.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | surfandturf | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $579 | — | — | Yes $333 |
| Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger same side · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ian Luca Vertberger $21 | — | — | Ian Luca Vertberger $48 |