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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)58% (247–182, n=429)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$645K$4.6M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)71% (67 of 95 open)58% (15 of 26 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +7 pts n=231, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +13 pts n=16, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=115NFL −7 pts, n=158—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 411 at avg 55¢, ROI +10%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 51% of 117)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 60% of 265)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 26)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChonkVisionndb1RN1weflyhigh
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $216Yes $226——