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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ComingBack | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (3996–2534, n=6530) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #974 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance −7 pts, n=118 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 7551 at avg 65¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 23% of 77) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 56% of 1748) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 67% of 2820) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 89% of 2906) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ComingBack | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $61K | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K | — |