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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBackCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$74K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus91% (20 of 22 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBackCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K——No $184K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0K——Cardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2.0K——Cardinals $35K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.0K——Raiders $171K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6K——Magic $51K