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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DEGENKHAN | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (601–304, n=905) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $3.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (87 of 94 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=138 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1587 at avg 65¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 493) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 49% of 35) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 61% of 44) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 98% of 1015) | 0% | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DEGENKHAN | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | — | Yes $15K |