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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DEGENKHAN | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (589–289, n=878) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (81 of 89 open) | 74% (71 of 96 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=138 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1586 at avg 65¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 493) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 49% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 61% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 98% of 1014) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DEGENKHAN | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46 | Yes $20K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $14K | — |