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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DOLBAEB1RN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)47% (14–16, n=30)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)61% (393–247, n=640)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL$24K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)85% (53 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 30 at avg 59¢, ROI +39%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 91% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 100% of 11)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDOLBAEB1RN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K——No $32K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——No $26K