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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Debosnys | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (1351–130, n=1481) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (30 of 40 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −7 pts, n=43 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 1856 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 32% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 98% of 1685) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Debosnys | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $132 | No $253K | — | — |