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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DirkDiggler67Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)61% (482–309, n=791)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$174K$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #428PM monthly #16PM monthly #7PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus54% (32 of 59 open)73% (83 of 113 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −23 pts, n=12Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won61% of 695 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 13% of 240)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 51% of 72)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 82% of 67)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 94% of 316)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.