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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DirkDiggler67Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)61% (407–260, n=667)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$173K$3.5M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #431PM monthly #23PM monthly #105PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus56% (32 of 57 open)70% (304 of 434 open)74% (81 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −23 pts, n=12Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won60% of 681 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 13% of 240)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 51% of 70)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 82% of 67)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 94% of 304)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.