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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (330–171, n=501) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$201K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #695 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −5 pts, n=31 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 613 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 7% of 87) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 35% of 48) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 66% of 76) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 402) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DonaldinhoTrumpito | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $26K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.2K | Yes $30K | — | — |