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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Donkov | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (762–325, n=1087) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (55 of 58 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=173 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 1145 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 8% of 574) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 48% of 109) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 68% of 103) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 359) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Donkov | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $87 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |