Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Dreamwire00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #411was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 102 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76——
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwire00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $407K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $532—Yes $77K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $93—Yes $258K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $39K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $14K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $11K