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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dreamwire | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2698–437, n=3135) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (102 of 154 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=76 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 319) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 130) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 66% of 152) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 1919) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dreamwire | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $750 | — | Over $1.1K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $131 | — | Over $935 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $33 | — | Over $4.2K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $462 | — | Under $76 | — |