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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireRN1CORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11K$13.4M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)53% (63 of 118 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireRN1CORGIIsainttroplay
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $194Under $7.2K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $226Over $434——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $203Under $141——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $49Under $9.2K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $105Over $5.4K——
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $220Under $2.1K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $79Over $1.3K——