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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwiresainttroplayCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #411was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus65% (15 of 23 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)0%9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)0%2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwiresainttroplayCORGIIprimm
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K——Over $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $79——Under $2.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $194——Under $261
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $226——Under $65