← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | 00gringo00 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10080–2842, n=12922) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $3.5M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (478 of 585 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3321 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 60% of 98) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 168) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2957) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Elias.Thornwell | 00gringo00 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |