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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Erasmus. | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (391–156, n=547) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $516K | $3.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #184 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=122 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 573 at avg 69¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 13% of 117) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 44% of 43) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 65% of 46) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 98% of 367) | 0% | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Erasmus. | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $48K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $35K |