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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FaroeseNationalistFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (603–632, n=1235)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$9.8K$4.1M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)77% (93 of 121 open)73% (73 of 100 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=109Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won49% of 1192 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 24% of 144)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 45% of 498)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 57% of 488)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 74% of 62)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFaroeseNationalistFlaznorpndb1primm
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $875——Bears $7.2K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
T1 $1.5KBilibili Gaming $273——
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $1.3KHeat $11K——