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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FlamePyro | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 65% (109 of 168 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FlamePyro | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | Notre Dame $47K | Miami (FL) $965 | — | — |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $35K | West Virginia $108 | — | — |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | UTEP $2.7K | Hawai'i $470 | — | — |