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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlamePyrojoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (409–254, n=663)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #756PM monthly #2PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position61% (37 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −19 pts, n=20——
Settled positions, side won62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 74)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 37% of 103)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 65% of 149)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 86% of 217)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlamePyrojoseph00677RN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $47K—Notre Dame $42K
Michigan State vs. Michigan
same side · consensus Michigan State
Michigan State $1.7K—Michigan State $21K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
Air Force $1.8K—Air Force $12K