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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FlamePyro | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 63% (36 of 57 open) |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FlamePyro | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | Notre Dame $47K | — | Notre Dame $169K | Notre Dame $63K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $210 | Miami (FL) $23K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | UTEP $2.7K | — | — | Hawai'i $561 |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan same side · consensus Michigan State | Michigan State $1.7K | — | — | Michigan State $22K |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Michigan State $15K | Michigan State $5 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $52 | Notre Dame $4.1K |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 |