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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (4635–4375, n=9010) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (60 of 84 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 12% of 147) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 95) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 60% of 99) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 91% of 151) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | — | No $7.7K | — |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $5.6K | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse $6.2K | — | Ignacio Buse $42K | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $10K | — | Mary Stoiana $21K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Mariano Navone | Mariano Navone $5 | — | Mariano Navone $3 | — |