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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIlllllljoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)31% (547–1218, n=1765)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$103K$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #965PM monthly #2PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus64% (107 of 166 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)48% (won 19% of 433)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)12% (won 51% of 110)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)13% (won 76% of 119)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)26% (won 94% of 234)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIlllllljoseph00677primm
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
West Virginia $108——Texas Tech $1.6K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $470——Hawai'i $6.1K