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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Workswaierma
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)75% (2546–856, n=3402)45% (98–122, n=220)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$3.7M$24K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #74PM monthly #778
Sides with the consensus66% (129 of 194 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)14% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)8% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)12% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)66% (won 95% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677S-Workswaierma
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $120KYes $2.2M—Yes $10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $52K——Yes $10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32K——Yes $10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K——Yes $10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.7K——Yes $10
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $742——Yes $9
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7——Yes $10