Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmwhosay
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)59% (1247–851, n=2098)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M-$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #48PM monthly #760
Sides with the consensus74% (117 of 158 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmwhosay
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $419——Yes $4.5K
Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $508——Yes $472
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $12K——Linda Noskova $3.8K
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $809