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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | TeGeeLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 51% (70–66, n=136) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.6M | $3.8M | $586K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #386 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (105 of 146 open) | 73% (74 of 101 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 19% (won 32% of 25) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 38% (won 50% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 36% (won 66% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 8% (won 80% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | TeGeeLP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K | T1 $1 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $153K | T1 $8.9K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | — | — | T1 $863K | T1 $91K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $85 | — | Bilibili Gaming $51K | — |