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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)63% (993–578, n=1571)95% (13673–684, n=14357)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #94PM monthly #962
Sides with the consensus67% (203 of 301 open)71% (55 of 78 open)75% (9 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1WagerWizard
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu $277—Kataller Toyama $108
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $341—Yes $38
Will Tokushima Vortis vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $114—Yes $85
Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $77—No $6
Sagan Tosu vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $35—Over $5
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $7.6K—No $33
Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kyōto Sanga FC
Kyōto Sanga FC $32—Kyōto Sanga FC $85
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Ōita Trinita end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $98—No $4
Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Yokohama FC
Yokohama FC $74—Yokohama FC $2