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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (4635–4375, n=9010) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $4.1M | $3.2M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 12% of 147) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 95) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 60% of 99) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 91% of 151) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | — | — | No $7.7K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $6.1K | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $46K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse $6.2K | — | — | Ignacio Buse $42K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $10K | — | — | Mary Stoiana $21K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Mariano Navone | Mariano Navone $5 | — | — | Mariano Navone $3 |