Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpwhosay
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)59% (1119–793, n=1912)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus70% (183 of 260 open)40% (4 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpwhosay
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $20KAlexandra Shubladze $328
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $185Yes $794
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $234Yes $265
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $333Yes $162
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $158Yes $202
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $531
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
TheMongolz $41TheMongolz $2.3K