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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)59% (1120–794, n=1914)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #898
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (266 of 387 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $185Yes $794
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $333Yes $162
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $172Yes $267
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $158Yes $202
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $531