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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6651–6884, n=13535) | 48% (12764–13807, n=26571) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (18 of 34 open) | 60% (50 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will BK Hacken win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $3.4K |
| Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $131 | No $1.2K |
| Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | Real Racing Club $9 | Real Madrid CF $209 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 242.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $100 | Over $34 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF $11 | Real Racing Club $4 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | Yes $6.3K |
| Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $349 | Yes $1 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | Under $108 |