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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Forecastication2RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)49% (6666–6894, n=13560)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$350K$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus35% (17 of 48 open)57% (84 of 147 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 82% of 390)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 96% of 1321)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 97% of 1828)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 98% of 1322)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketForecastication2RN1sainttroplay
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $3.5KRaiders $4.3K—
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.9KOver $902—
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $3.8KCardinals $1.4K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $59Over $3.4K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $71Raiders $2.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $8Cardinals $2.2K—
Spread: Bills (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2Ravens $93—
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $10Under $7.9K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Steelers $734Steelers $1.9K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $9Bills $2.5K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $102Yes $934—
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $3Titans $766—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2Under $213—