Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Forecastication2RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)49% (6656–6887, n=13543)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$349K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus36% (17 of 47 open)64% (88 of 138 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 82% of 390)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 96% of 1321)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 97% of 1828)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 98% of 1322)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketForecastication2RN1beachboy4
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $312—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.1KUnder $3—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $1.0K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $727No $94—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $179No $15—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $3.5KJets $255—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $72Over $1.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.1KCowboys $23—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Steelers $726Steelers $51—
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $207Yes $298—
Elche CF leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $69Yes $246—
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47Yes $183—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2Under $213—
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8Yes $81—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7Over $6—