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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6656–6887, n=13543) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (23 of 47 open) | 60% (81 of 134 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $480 | Under $1.6K | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $727 | No $63 | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | Yes $386 | Yes $3.3K | — |
| Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $225 | Yes $4 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | Under $220 | — |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | Yes $36 | — |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF $17 | Real Madrid CF $18 | — |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7 | Over $6 | — |