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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (10 of 35 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.5K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $4 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Chiefs $2 | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $834 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Rams $2.6K | — | — | Rams $849 |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.0K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |