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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (14 of 31 open) | 54% (33 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Chargers vs. Rams opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.0K | — | — | Rams $123 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $834 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | Under $213 | — | — |