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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FrozenParasiteBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)63% (450–267, n=717)45% (537–652, n=1189)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (992–980, n=1972)
Consensus PnL$155K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #875PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus60% (37 of 62 open)85% (53 of 62 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won51% of 673 at avg 37¢, ROI +11%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 22% of 321)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 60% of 106)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 75% of 127)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 96% of 119)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFrozenParasiteBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $422No $32K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $119No $26K——
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16Yes $261——